Kaitou Macro: There is no end in sight for the industrial difficulties in the euro zone. Jack Allen-Reynolds, a macro economist at Kaitou, said in a report that the stagnation of industrial production in the euro zone in October shows that its industrial sector is still weak and will continue to struggle. In fact, he said, without Ireland's data, the G-20' s constant production data would look much worse, or it would drop by 0.5% month-on-month, while Ireland's data is notoriously unstable. Allen-Reynolds said that the output in October excluding Ireland decreased by 2.8% compared with the same period of last year, which was 18% lower than the output level of energy-intensive industries before the outbreak of the conflict between Russia and Ukraine. He said that automobile production is 17% lower than the pre-epidemic level. Although the production performance of other industries is not so bad, the latest survey shows that the overall industrial production continues to decline.Morgan Stanley lowered the Nike target price from $82.00 to $80.00.Canada asked the Labor Committee to put Canadian postal workers back to work.
Broadcom is developing customized AI chips with three large cloud customers. Broadcom's share price rose by more than 20% at the beginning, and its total market value rose to 1.02 trillion US dollars, ranking ninth in the US stock market. After the close of the US Eastern Time on Thursday, Broadcom announced a better-than-expected fourth-quarter financial report. Not only did the profit performance be better than expected, but Broadcom's artificial intelligence revenue more than tripled this year. Broadcom's AI revenue increased by 220% to US$ 12.2 billion this year. It is estimated that the revenue of AI products will increase by 65% in the first fiscal quarter of fiscal year 2025. The CEO of Broadcom revealed that he is developing customized AI chips with three large cloud customers. It is estimated that each customer will deploy 1 million AI chips in 2027.The Dow Jones Industrial Average is now at 43,917.68 points, up 3.56 points.CapitaMacro: The new French Prime Minister has a long way to go. Jack Allen-Reynolds, an analyst at CapitaMacro, wrote in a report to clients that if the new French Prime Minister wants to form a government and solve the country's troubled financial problems, he will face arduous tasks. Francois bayrou, a veteran centrist politician, was appointed as prime minister by President Macron on Friday. He must now form a government because his short-lived predecessor, Michelle Banier, tried to force through budget legislation and was overthrown by the National Assembly. Bayrou may face the same battle. Reynolds said: "The government seems unlikely to have the will and ability to solve France's financial problems." France's budget deficit this year will further expand, further exceeding the level that European authorities think can be tolerated.
Analysis: Two major factors, disposal of non-performing assets and resolution of local debts, affect the total financial data. According to the analysis of market institutions, the financial data of the current month are greatly influenced by disposal of non-performing assets and resolution of local debts. The reform of financial institutions has been carried out in an orderly manner, and the disposal of non-performing assets of commercial banks has pressed the "acceleration button". According to industry insiders, the write-off of non-performing loans is only a bank accounting treatment, and the lending relationship between banks and enterprises has not changed, which does not directly affect the business activities of the real economy. In November, some non-performing loans were sold through packaging, transfer and sale, so that non-performing assets were listed as a whole. This part is not included in the scale of social financing, which will have a certain impact on the growth rate of social financing scale, but it will also not affect the financing relationship of the real economy. In addition, the intensity of localized debts has increased, and local governments may accelerate the replacement of debts in the short term, affecting the credit stock. It is understood that the Ministry of Finance has issued new local debt limits to all localities, and some provinces have started issuing them. At present, the total amount of special bonds issued by local governments in China has basically reached the planned annual issuance quota. According to market research, after the financing platform and other entities get the special debt funds, most of them will repay the debts in about 10 to 20 days, most of which are loans, so as to avoid "paying interest at both ends" of bonds and loans. It is estimated that nearly 250 billion yuan of local bond swap will be completed nationwide in November, and there will be a larger bond swap in December. According to industry insiders, for local governments, after the debt pressure is released slowly, it is more conducive to the development of the real economy, which is good for relieving the debt chain, smoothing the economic cycle and preventing risks, and has multiple positive effects. (The country is a through train)Beijing issued a new policy to reduce the logistics cost of the whole society. The "Implementation Plan for Effectively Reducing the Logistics Cost of the Whole Society in Beijing" (hereinafter referred to as the "Plan") released on the 13th proposed that Beijing would improve its cargo transportation capacity and vigorously develop air freight. Strengthen the construction of Beijing airport-type national logistics hub, actively expand international routes, and constantly improve the aviation network layout of "all cargo aircraft+passenger aircraft belly cabin". The plan puts forward 16 measures around five key areas, such as improving cargo transportation capacity, improving logistics infrastructure network, improving urban distribution service, strengthening enterprise service and management, and promoting innovation-driven development. (Zhongxin. com)TSMC rose more than 4%, and its first factory in Kumamoto Prefecture, Japan, was close to mass production. TSM.US rose more than 4% at the beginning of the session to US$ 199.98. According to industry sources, TSMC is committed to integrating CoWoS and SiPh, and seeks to launch co-packaged optical devices (CPO) in 2026. In addition, Apple cooperates with Broadcom to develop AI chips, and TSMC's advanced process will welcome big orders again. It is also worth noting that it is reported that TSMC's first factory in Kumamoto Prefecture, Japan is close to mass production.
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide
12-14
Strategy guide
12-14